Rishi Sunak is predicted to be the first Prime Minister losing his seat as Tories will see a massive wipeout in the July 4 election, a new poll has revealed. The Conservative Party could be reduced to just 53 MPs, with Sunak potentially losing his seat. The major blow to Sunak’s party will come from various regions, including the North East and North West, with prominent cabinet ministers like Jeremy Hunt, Penny Mordaunt, and others also projected to lose their seats.
Savanta survey published by The Telegraph newspaper polled around 18,000 people between June 7 and June 18.
The polling figures paint a stark picture for the Conservatives, who are expected to retain just three seats in the North West. Multiple key cabinet members, including Secretary Jeremy Hunt, Defence Secretary Penny Mordaunt, and several others, are projected to lose their constituencies. Humiliating losses are predicted in areas previously held by former Conservative prime ministers such as John Major, Theresa May, and Boris Johnson.
David TC Davies, the Welsh Secretary, acknowledged the severity of the situation. “The Tories will ‘get it in the neck’ at the election,” he stated, adding that the party “can’t hide” from the polls that are “clearly pointing at a large Labour majority.”
Chris Hopkins, Political Research Director at Savanta, attributed the projections to “the almost unique set of events conspiring against the Conservative Party this election.”
According to YouGov and other polling firms, Sunak’s decision to leave the D-Day commemorations early has negatively impacted support for the Conservative Party. Nearly 200 seats are currently listed as “too close to call,” indicating that even small changes could significantly affect the election’s outcome. For YouGov, the latest analysis has the Conservatives at their lowest seat tally in the party’s almost 200-year history.
Polling expert Professor Sir John Curtice offered further insight into the current trajectory of the Conservative Party. “Whether it’s going to be 53, or 108, or whatever, it is all pointing to a low figure. And if the Labour lead remains anything like it is, and Reform remains as high as they are, the Tories getting to the 156 seats of 1906 is beginning to look more and more remote.”
Current predictions from YouGov suggest that Labour is on track to secure a 200-seat majority, potentially achieving 425 seats, while the Conservatives are expected to settle at 108 seats. The Liberal Democrats may secure 67 seats, the SNP 20, Reform UK five, Plaid Cymru four, and the Green Party two seats.
These projections come on the heels of another megapoll conducted by More in Common UK, indicating that the Conservatives are poised for their worst defeat in over a century. This poll, which surveyed over 10,000 people, pointed to high-profile losses, including that of Jeremy Hunt. Luke Tryl, Executive Director of More in Common UK, noted the severity of the findings.
“The findings showed that the Tories were in a ‘deep hole’ and that the problem was getting worse,” he said.
(With agency inputs)
Savanta survey published by The Telegraph newspaper polled around 18,000 people between June 7 and June 18.
The polling figures paint a stark picture for the Conservatives, who are expected to retain just three seats in the North West. Multiple key cabinet members, including Secretary Jeremy Hunt, Defence Secretary Penny Mordaunt, and several others, are projected to lose their constituencies. Humiliating losses are predicted in areas previously held by former Conservative prime ministers such as John Major, Theresa May, and Boris Johnson.
David TC Davies, the Welsh Secretary, acknowledged the severity of the situation. “The Tories will ‘get it in the neck’ at the election,” he stated, adding that the party “can’t hide” from the polls that are “clearly pointing at a large Labour majority.”
Chris Hopkins, Political Research Director at Savanta, attributed the projections to “the almost unique set of events conspiring against the Conservative Party this election.”
According to YouGov and other polling firms, Sunak’s decision to leave the D-Day commemorations early has negatively impacted support for the Conservative Party. Nearly 200 seats are currently listed as “too close to call,” indicating that even small changes could significantly affect the election’s outcome. For YouGov, the latest analysis has the Conservatives at their lowest seat tally in the party’s almost 200-year history.
Polling expert Professor Sir John Curtice offered further insight into the current trajectory of the Conservative Party. “Whether it’s going to be 53, or 108, or whatever, it is all pointing to a low figure. And if the Labour lead remains anything like it is, and Reform remains as high as they are, the Tories getting to the 156 seats of 1906 is beginning to look more and more remote.”
Current predictions from YouGov suggest that Labour is on track to secure a 200-seat majority, potentially achieving 425 seats, while the Conservatives are expected to settle at 108 seats. The Liberal Democrats may secure 67 seats, the SNP 20, Reform UK five, Plaid Cymru four, and the Green Party two seats.
These projections come on the heels of another megapoll conducted by More in Common UK, indicating that the Conservatives are poised for their worst defeat in over a century. This poll, which surveyed over 10,000 people, pointed to high-profile losses, including that of Jeremy Hunt. Luke Tryl, Executive Director of More in Common UK, noted the severity of the findings.
“The findings showed that the Tories were in a ‘deep hole’ and that the problem was getting worse,” he said.
(With agency inputs)