The brokerage house said a portfolio equally divided between equity and debt is optimum for investors with a moderate risk profile. The return distribution showed a low probability of negative returns, with around 54% of observations in the double-digit category, it said.
Based on a returns distribution analysis using three-year rolling returns (monthly data), the equally weighted portfolio clearly emerged as a superior alternative to traditional fixed income, it said, since there were no negative returns for a minimum three-year holding period and 90% of observations generated higher returns than domestic inflation based on Consumer Price Index (6% CAGR).
An equal-weighted portfolio entails the same allocation to each stock or asset as a proportion of the total investment, ensuring that they all enjoy the same position in the portfolio. In a 50:50 portfolio, an investor holds 50% of the investments each in equity and debt.
Portfolio combinations | Equally weighted portfolio | 25% Equity, 75% debt | 50% Equity, 50% debt | 75% Equity, 25% debt |
CAGR from 1990 to Sep 30, 2023 | 11.70% | 10.60% | 12.20% | 12.90% |
Standard deviation (annualised) | 8.00% | 8.40% | 14.30% | 20.30% |
Source: Motilal Oswal Private Wealth study