Explained: Joe Biden’s 2024 re-election bid, prospects & possible Trump rematch

Explained: Joe Biden's 2024 re-election bid, prospects & possible Trump rematch



NEW DELHI: US President Joe Biden on Tuesday announced his re-election bid for the 2024 US Presidential polls, setting up a possible rematch with Donald Trump who is hoping to be the Republican candidate again.
At age 80, Biden is already the oldest president in American history, and, if he were to win, he would be 86 at the end of a second term.
Trump, no youngster at 76, would himself outlast every president by age if he were restored to the Oval Office and finished his new term at 82.
With Biden’s announcement, the buildup for the next year’s titular clash has already gained much traction.
Here’s all you need to know about Biden’s historic bid, US presidential polls and more …
Will Biden win Democratic nomination for the polls?
To officially contest the presidential polls, Biden will have to first win the Democratic primaries to emerge as his party’s official pick for the 2024 election. So far, Biden faces a smooth path to winning his party’s nomination, with no serious Democratic challengers. A notable swath of Democratic voters has indicated they would prefer he not run, in part because of his age. Yet few things have unified Democratic voters like the prospect of Trump returning to power. Moreover, Biden’s political standing within his party stabilized after Democrats notched a stronger-than-expected performance in last year’s midterm elections. The president is set to run again on the same themes that buoyed his party last fall, particularly on preserving access to abortion.
Will it be Biden vs Trump again in 2024?
Joe Biden’s most likely challenger in the 2024 US presidential election is Donald Trump, the former president who lost to Biden in 2020. Trump, who still commands a loyal base of supporters, announced his candidacy in November 2022 and remains the front-runner in the Republican race. Other potential Republican candidates include Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida, Mike Pence, the former vice president under Trump, and Nikki Haley, a former governor of South Carolina and ambassador to the United Nations. However, the race is still fluid and unpredictable, and more candidates may emerge or drop out as the election cycle progresses.
What do American voters think of Joe Biden?
Joe Biden’s approval rating among Americans has been declining since he took office in January 2021, and as of April 2023, it is around 40%, while his disapproval rating is around 54%. This marks a significant drop from his 45% approval and 34% disapproval in February 2021. There are several factors that may have contributed to his low popularity, such as high inflation, pandemic response, Afghanistan withdrawal, and political polarization. However, his approval rating may change depending on how he handles the upcoming challenges and opportunities in his presidency.
How does Joe Biden’s approval ratings compare with past presidents?
Joe Biden’s approval rating among Americans is lower than most of his predecessors at this point in their presidency. Only Harry Truman (36.5%), Richard Nixon (34.4%), and Donald Trump (41.1%) had lower approval ratings than Biden after about two years in office. Most other presidents had approval ratings above 50% at this stage of their term.
But do approval ratings really play a major role in re-elections?
Approval ratings are not a definitive indicator of a president’s chances of winning in a re-election campaign. Some presidents who had low approval ratings in their first term managed to recover and win re-election, while others who had high approval ratings failed to win. Therefore, while Joe Biden’s approval rating among Americans reflects his current level of support and the challenges he faces in gaining more popularity, it is not a definitive indicator of his chances of winning in 2024.
When will the next US presidential elections be held?
The next US presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. This will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election in the United States and the first election after electoral votes were redistributed during the 2020 census reapportionment cycle. The presidential election cycle begins as early as two years before the general election. The general election for president of the United States is preceded by caucuses and primary elections held by the major parties to determine their nominees. The winner of the 2024 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2025.
What is the procedure for electing the US President?
The US presidential elections are indirect elections in which voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College. These electors then directly elect the president and vice president. The Electoral College consists of 538 electors, and a majority of 270 electoral votes is required to elect the president and vice president. Before the general election in November, candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, which is awarded through a process such as a primary election or a caucus. The national conventions of each party are where the parties officially nominate their candidates for president and vice president and adopt their platforms. For more, read TOI’s detailed explainer.
Are Indian-American candidates also running in the US presidential race?
There are two potential Indian-American candidates in the 2024 US presidential election: Nikki Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy, both from the Republican party. Nikki Haley, a former governor of South Carolina and ambassador to the United Nations, announced her candidacy on January 18, 2023. Vivek Ramaswamy, a tech entrepreneur and author, announced his candidacy on February 22, 2023. Notably, Vice President Kamala Harris, who is also Indian-American, will be Biden’s running mate again.
What challenges does Joe Biden face as President?
As President, Joe Biden faces several challenges, including his age, political polarization, the economy, and foreign policy. At 80 years old, he is the oldest person to have occupied the White House, and some voters may have concerns about his health and fitness for duty. He also faces a deeply divided Congress and electorate, as well as the challenge of overcoming partisan gridlock and misinformation. In addition, he must convince voters that his federal investments in infrastructure, climate change, and high-tech sectors will pay off in the long run. On the world stage, he must demonstrate that his foreign policy is effective and consistent, while also dealing with rising powers like China and Russia, and instability in regions like Ukraine, Afghanistan, Iran and North Korea.





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